Scientific Working Group on Scenarios
Scenarios form a key element of IAM research. The Scientific Working Group on Scenarios aims to contribute to development and use of community scenarios, i.e. scenarios that are used and co-developed by the IAM and other research communities, permitting cross-community integration, comparison and cooperation. Activities of the working group are therefore related to the IAMC Scenario database, the use of the SSP/RCP framework, updates with regard to SSP scenarios and the establishment of criteria to determine consistency with the ‘SSP-markers’.
Intended timeline
- November 2021: ICONICS webinar to present plan to community
- December 2021: IAMC Annual Meeting to discuss main input assumptions (SWGs)
- Early 2022: discussion on open issues (Covid; additional variables); establish dialogue on “downscaling” of demographic/economic variables
- Until May 2022: work on initial population and economic projections
- June 2022: at Scenarios Forum present initial quantifications
- Summer/Fall 2022: Finalize and publish scenarios
Co-chairs
Members
Nico Bauer (PIK), Benjamin Bodirsky (PIK), Kate Calvin (PNNL/JGCRI), Laurent Drouet (CMCC), Jae Edmonds (PNNL/JGCRI), Johannes Emmerling (CMCC), Oliver Fricko (IIASA), Jan Sigurd Fuglestvedt (CICERO), Shinichiro Fujimori (U Kyoto, NIES), Tomoko Hasegawa (NIES), Petr Havlik (IIASA), Tom Kram (PBL), Elmar Kriegler (PIK), Thomas Longden (ANU), Richard Moss (PNNL/JGCRI), Brian O’Neill (JGCRI), Alexander Popp (PIK), Shilpa Rao (IIASA), P.R. Shukla (UAhmedabad), Steve Smith (PNNL/JGCRI ), Elke Stehfest (PBL), Massimo Tavoni (CMCC), Kenichi Wada (RITE), Stephanie Waldhoff (PNNL/JGCRI).
In addition, the following non-IAM experts are contributing to the activities of the scenario SWG: Jesus Crespo (IIASA), Rob Dellink (OECD), Leiwan Jiang (NCAR), Marian Leimbach (PIK), Wolfgang Lutz (IIASA), KC Samir (IIASA).
IAMC members that are interested in participating in the work of the SWG should contact SWG Co-Chairs.