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Kio Amachree
Heading: A Call for Modernization: The Crisis of International Law and U.S. Influence In today's geopolitical landscape, the Israeli-Gaza conflict has cast a stark light on the inadequacies of post-World War II international law. These laws, once crafted in a markedly different era, now struggle to address the complexities of modern conflicts and global dynamics. The situation has reached a tipping point, illustrating a significant challenge in enforcing these laws effectively, especially evident in Israel's public disregard for international statutes. This has set a precarious precedent, potentially diminishing the ability of the international community to hold other nations accountable in future conflicts. Moreover, the response—or notable lack thereof—from the U.S. and European nations to Israel’s actions signals a shifting paradigm. These Western powers, traditionally seen as arbiters of international law, appear increasingly impotent or unwilling to act, thereby eroding their influence particularly in the Global South. The burgeoning anti-American sentiment and the formation of new alliances excluding the U.S. highlight a critical and growing disjunction between Western rhetoric and action. As we witness the emergence of these new global alliances and a marked rise in anti-American sentiment, it becomes clear that reliance on outdated frameworks and selective enforcement are no longer viable. The international community stands at a crossroads: either continue to uphold a faltering system of international law or undertake comprehensive reforms that reflect the realities of contemporary global politics. This is not just about legal statutes; it is about maintaining global stability and moral authority in a rapidly evolving world. The current trajectory suggests that without serious reform, international law risks becoming an obsolete relic, used selectively and enforced sporadically. Such a path leads only to increased global instability and injustice. The time for action and reform is now; the world must not only demand adherence to international law but also ensure its relevance and robust enforcement in the face of modern-day challenges.
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Trita Parsi
I write in the @nytimes today about how Biden scored a victory through his efforts to prevent the Israeli-Iranian clash from escalating further. HOWEVER, it was a tactical win within a larger strategic failure since Biden's broader policies have helped push the region to the precipice of war. It is his own policies that have set the Middle East on its current dangerous trajectory. First, by blocking a ceasefire in Gaza, which then has fueled tensions throughout the region and brought the Middle East to the brink of regional war. Secondly, by blocking the creation of a Palestinian state by building on Trump's Abraham Accords that offered costly American concessions to Arab states in return for their dropping of the demand for Palestinian statehood as a condition for normalizing relations with Israel. But by blocking any hope that peaceful efforts could deliver the national aspiration of Palestinians — the accords offer nothing more than a pinkie promise of a “pathway” to statehood — both Trump and Biden made Palestinian violence all the more likely. While Biden's tactical successes in avoiding the worst outcomes of his policies should not be belittled, they can never make up for his government’s broader failure to pursue a strategy that brings real security to America and real peace to the Middle East.// https://lnkd.in/enuthf_9
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Kio Amachree
The Complex Dance: Congress, Corporations, and Lobbyists The interplay between Congress and big business, underscored by the extensive influence of lobbying, presents a critical junction in U.S. political dynamics. Lobbying, while a constitutional right under the First Amendment, is predominantly wielded by big businesses, comprising 95% of such activities. This dominance suggests a significant, perhaps disproportionate, influence over legislative processes. The challenge lies not just in the presence of lobbyists but in the opacity of their interactions with legislators. Studies, like those from Xavier University, hint at the complexities involved in tracking these relationships and their direct impact on policymaking. This obscurity complicates public understanding and fuels skepticism about legislative integrity. Moreover, while lobbying serves pivotal roles, such as educating legislators and pooling resources for collective advocacy, its benefits often skew towards well-represented interests, sidelining lesser-heard voices. This imbalance raises concerns about the extent to which legislation reflects the broader public interest versus the narrower agendas of powerful entities. Financially, the stakes are high. Entities ranging from corporations to labor unions invest billions annually to sway political winds in their favor, according to OpenSecrets.org. This financial clout underscores a potential conflict, where legislative loyalty might lean more towards these financial powerhouses rather than the constituents themselves. Despite the critical functions it serves in a democratic society, the alignment—or misalignment—of corporate lobbying efforts with public welfare remains a contentious point. The dialogue around this issue continues to evolve, reflecting the ongoing tension between corporate influence and democratic ideals in shaping U.S. public policy.
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Comfort Ero
Talks of a ceasefire between Israel and Hamas are at a decisive juncture. And while the details have not been made public yet, neither side will be fully satisfied by its terms. Yet no better deal is likely to emerge that can both end the fighting that has devastated Gaza and secure the release of Israeli hostages. Israel and Hamas need to accept this deal. Continued war will neither destroy Hamas as Israel wants nor strengthen Hamas's hand. It guarantees only greater suffering to a people who desperately need relief. https://lnkd.in/eFjtb2uT
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Jerusalem Institute of Justice
Monique Beadle, the Director of US Policy and Diplomacy, shared her insights with @i24news regarding the recent ICC arrest warrants issued against Hamas leaders, Benjamin Netanyahu, and Yoav Gallant. Stay tuned for more updates and in-depth analysis on this significant development. #JIJ #ICC #Hamas #BenjaminNetanyahu #YoavGallant #InternationalLaw #HumanRights #Diplomacy #Justice #News #i24News
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Fabrizio Bozzato
"In the last installment of our interview series with Palau President Surangel Whipps Jr., KPRG's Naina Rao delves into how China’s growing influence in the region affects the consensus shared between Pacific Island countries. President Whipps also discussed the challenge of balancing traditional values with increasing modernity. But first, what will the renewed Compact funding be used for? And where will it go?"
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Chris Seiple
A rather thorough and thoughtful case for why accurate terms of reference are vital to clear thinking about war and peace (or any issue). The last line is imperative. When we militarize our national security--i.e., when we forget about all the elements of national power, well beyond the whole of government--everything can be a nail to our hammer, per the famous response of the Vietnamese colonel to Harry Summers (paraphrased): "Yes we never beat you on the battlefield, but that is also irrelevant." From the article: “…hybrid war [is] a redundant term; it simply constitutes war as we always have known it… All warfare blends conventional and irregular forces and traditional and “asymmetric systems.” War’s very nature creates ambiguity, and seizing the initiative is part of the job when waging a war, as is paralyzing the enemy. There is nothing here that has not been practiced since ancient times…Hybrid war becomes everything; thus it is nothing…[the term] also encourages the militarization of other elements of grand strategy while driving us to view every geopolitical act through a warlike lens.”
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Colin Powers
For New Left Review this week, I wrote on the UAE, its positioning within the global economy, and its relation to American empire. Where emergent tensions with Washington would appear to be the result of the Emirates' ties to Russia and China, I argue that they instead stem from the United States clumsily disavowing the neoliberal order it once presided over. https://lnkd.in/eWyja3Xs #geopolitics #politicaleconomy #MiddleEast #riskanalysis
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Kio Amachree
Critical Analysis of Secretary of State Antony Blinken’s Tenure: Shortcomings in U.S. Foreign Policy As we scrutinize the tenure of Secretary of State Antony Blinken over the past four years, several pivotal issues surface that highlight significant flaws in U.S. foreign policy. These include the handling of relations with Israel, the protracted crisis in Ukraine, ongoing instability in the Middle East, and the poorly executed withdrawal from Afghanistan. Each domain not only challenges the effectiveness of U.S. diplomatic strategies but also significantly diminishes its image on the world stage. Handling of Israel and Relations with Netanyahu During Blinken’s tenure, U.S.-Israel relations have notably deteriorated, especially with Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu. Fundamental disagreements over the Israel-Palestine conflict and military operations in Gaza have underscored a stark decline in U.S. influence under Blinken’s diplomacy. The persistent U.S. failures to moderate Netanyahu’s policies have exposed a glaring inability to steer Israeli actions towards a peaceful resolution, resulting in a diminished stature of U.S. diplomacy in critical regional conflicts. Situation in Ukraine The U.S. commitment to Ukraine in its conflict with Russia has been marked by indefinite and unsustainable military and financial aid, with no strategic end in sight. This open-ended involvement has led to a costly stalemate, draining resources and yielding little progress, thereby crafting a narrative of a directionless and ineffective foreign policy under Blinken’s guidance. Middle East Stability and Relations with Iran In the Middle East, the U.S. has navigated through a minefield of diplomatic challenges, particularly with Iran. The near-misses of direct conflict have revealed a reactive policy framework that risks significant miscalculations. This cautious, yet often indecisive strategy has done little to assure allies or deter adversaries, placing regional stability on a knife-edge without clear diplomatic achievements. Withdrawal from Afghanistan The 2021 withdrawal from Afghanistan was a watershed moment for U.S. foreign policy, widely regarded as a disastrous oversight. The abrupt exit facilitated a rapid Taliban takeover and a humiliating scramble to evacuate U.S. citizens and allies, starkly illustrating a lack of foresight and planning. This debacle has severely impacted perceptions of U.S. competency and reliability globally, casting a long shadow over Blinken’s record. Overall Perception and Popularity Collectively, these areas paint a grim picture of Antony Blinken’s tenure as Secretary of State. The litany of diplomatic failings and missteps has not only compromised key international relationships but also questioned the overall efficacy and strategic coherence of U.S. foreign policy. The global critique of these policies underscores a period fraught with error and miscalculations, eroding confidence in U.S. leadership .
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Katie Shoshiashvili
Trans-Atlantic Foreign Affairs Committee Chairs: To the Georgian people, we declare: You are not alone. Simply put, this so-called ‘foreign agent’ law mirrors the policies of Vladimir Putin, who continues to illegally occupy 20 percent of Georgia’s territory. Respected Georgian organizations such as Transparency International Georgia, The International Society for Fair Elections and Democracy (ISFED), and საია GYLA, are playing pivotal roles in Georgia’s path towards Euro-Atlantic integration. This law flies in the face of such worthy efforts and serves as a direct assault on civil society and independent media— elements fundamental to any democracy. The United States and Europe will continue to support them as their leadership and vision for Georgia exemplify true patriotism, in stark contrast to the 84 members of Parliament who aligned themselves with Russia in yesterday’s vote. We will never abandon the Georgian people who have bravely displayed their steadfast commitment to democratic values through peaceful resistance, nor will we hesitate to hold accountable those responsible for enacting this Russian-style law and for the brutal targeting of nonviolent demonstrators, including by Bidzina Ivanishvili and his cronies.
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Josh Paul
We see "U.S. complicity not only in facilitating and enabling these violations, but in proactive steps taken by the Biden Administration and other U.S. officials to shield Israel from accountability, whether within the U.S. legal system, or through posing explicit threats to the U.S. relationship with South Africa, or the broader international rule of law represented by the International Criminal Court. "One wonders whether if a sovereign court in Europe was to commence proceedings against Israeli officials whether the United States would not even be willing to tear apart the transatlantic alliance in order to shield Benjamin Netanyahu." As an invasion of Rafah commences, and a report from the Biden Administration to Congress comes due, I answered questions from World Geostrategic Insights (link below) on how America's catastrophic foreign policy towards Israel came to be, and what it means for the world. As I explained, rather than capitalizing on its hegemonic moment to build a lasting and binding system of international justice, America has emerged as a 'status quo' power whose foreign policy lacks a moral mooring other than its desire to stay on top. "As a result, what we see now is an America stripped of its credibility in the region and in global contexts as well," I told WGI, and "[t]his loss of credibility, combined with the awful policies that it emerges from, ultimately contribute to instability by creating mutual dependencies between the U.S. and autocrats based on a shared interest in the suppression of popular opinion, deepening the reputational harm, creating fundamentally brittle relationships, and contributing to continued regional instability. I see this as a tragedy for America - and for the world, because none of the other options currently being promoted by rising powers are in any way better. WGI's last question was, essentially, 'whose fault is all this?' As I explained based on my own experience in government, various lobbies play a role, but "[t]he disaster we see today in the Middle East... may be a product of the warped Washington system in which politics and money often outweigh good policy, but is ultimately a responsibility of the American government, and its leaders. As the sign on President Truman’s desk famously said, “the buck stops here.” You can read the whole interview, which also touches on the viability of the two-state solution, and Israel's "response" to October 7th, online here:
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Igor Khrestin
New piece in RealClear Media Group with colleagues David Kramer and Christopher Walsh on the growing danger of transnational repression and what we should do about it. https://lnkd.in/gJ_rmfJt BLUF: “The U.S. State Department should actively work to urge as many of our democratic allies as possible to adopt and expand Global Magnitsky Act-style legislation. A global “Magnitsky network” could go after human rights abusers like the Taliban by consistently applying targeted sanctions to close the loopholes and eliminate the financial and safe harbors they utilize. … Congress should also use its oversight powers to highlight authoritarian intrusions into our democracy that target foreign dissidents within our borders. This includes protecting American citizens against national security threats posed by Chinese-controlled social media platforms like TikTok. Congress must ensure that our government’s response to these challenges is both adequate and robustly funded.” Read the whole thing here: https://lnkd.in/gJ_rmfJt
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Kio Amachree
The Evolving Standards of Congress: A Comparative Analysis I find that the standard of politicians serving today in Congress is much lower than those who served 50 years ago. This assertion can be explored through the lens of military service, the influence of technological developments, and the decline in decorum and political sophistication exemplified by figures like Marjorie Taylor Greene. Military Service The number of veterans in Congress has declined significantly since the mid-20th century. During the 1960s and 1970s, a large proportion of Congress members had military experience, largely due to the mass mobilizations of World War II and the Korean War. For instance, in 1973, nearly three in every four members of Congress had some type of military service. In contrast, the 117th Congress (2021-2022) had only about one in every six members with military experience, the lowest since at least World War II. The 118th Congress (2023-2024) saw a slight increase, with 97 veterans, but this still represents a small fraction compared to historical figures. Influence of Technology Technological developments such as the internet, social media, and TV have indeed transformed the political landscape. These platforms have changed how politicians communicate with the public and how they campaign. Social media, in particular, has been shown to influence political behavior, voter turnout, and even election outcomes. Politicians now have direct channels to engage with constituents, bypassing traditional media filters, which can lead to more populist and sometimes polarizing rhetoric. Decorum and Political Sophistication The decline in decorum, manners, and political sophistication in Congress is glaringly evident in the behavior of individuals like Marjorie Taylor Greene. Her inflammatory statements and confrontational style highlight a broader trend of deteriorating political discourse and professionalism. This shift away from respectful and thoughtful debate marks a stark contrast to the standards upheld by many politicians of the past. Conclusion While the composition of Congress has changed in terms of military service, and the influence of technology has introduced new dynamics in political communication and behavior, the decline in decorum and political sophistication is particularly concerning. It is not entirely accurate to say that today's politicians are of a lower standard; rather, they operate in a different context with different challenges and tools at their disposal. However, the erosion of respectful discourse and professionalism is a troubling development. #CongressStandards #PoliticalAnalysis #MilitaryService #TechInPolitics #PoliticalDecorum
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Alina Yablonskaya
Public Diplomacy Small Grants Program - Lithuania DS Lithuania is pleased to announce an open call for proposals aimed at strengthening the enduring bond between the United States and Lithuania. ✨ Grant proposals should incorporate elements of American history, culture, or common values. Alignment with priority program areas is essential: 1️⃣ Strengthening Lithuania's safety and security, including bolstering regional security and addressing challenges posed by Russia's aggression. 2️⃣ Building capacity for crisis response, particularly in the face of natural disasters. 3️⃣ Supporting Lithuania's transatlantic orientation by highlighting the rich history and promising future of Lithuanian-American relations. 4️⃣ Deepening understanding of NATO and regional security challenges. The deadline for grant applications is June 15, 2024.Applicants may apply for funding in amounts between $2,500 and $25,000. https://lnkd.in/dwmvgGY2 #GrantOpportunity #Lithuanian
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Robert W. Lazaro, Jr.
America's influence extends far beyond its armed forces. Soft diplomacy, the use of cultural exchange, development assistance, and humanitarian aid, plays a critical role in addressing some of the world's most pressing issues. By promoting stability and fostering democratic values abroad, the US creates a more favorable environment for international trade. In Northern Virginia and the Commonwealth foreign direct investment and trade are critical components of our economy. https://lnkd.in/ezT58-v9
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Dana Bruce
When the United States provides aid to other countries, it is not a handout. It supports the United States' national security, it opens economic markets and helps to foster future trade partners, and often, it has an immediate and direct economic impact back home: https://lnkd.in/eCSbDcas
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David Maxwell
4/27/24 National Security News and Commentary https://conta.cc/4dk49bR 1. Xi and Blinken Trade Small Nods Over a Large Gap 2. In war-battered Gaza, residents grow angry with Hamas 3. Britain Does Its Part in Ukraine and on Defense Spending By Rishi Sunak 4. Opinion | What Students Read Before They Protest 5. Secret meetings, social chatter: How the Columbia protest sparked a student revolt 6. Inside the Pro-Palestinian Protests Disrupting Columbia University 7. Putin Didn’t Directly Order Alexei Navalny’s February Death, U.S. Spy Agencies Find 8. A Surge of Wartime Brain Injuries Is Changing Lives—and Offering Lessons 9. America’s Military Isn’t Providing Enough Bang for the Buck 10. Chinese state media backs US college campus protesters: 'Justified' 11. Terry Glavin: Iran is the China-funded fulcrum of global terror 12. Is China Rethinking its Invasion of Taiwan? 13. Why China risks US sanctions arming Russia: survival 14. TikTok ban won't solve foreign influence, data privacy problems 15. US is no longer the arsenal of democracy 16. Alaska an important Special Operations training ground, as Arctic sees interest from Russia and China 17. Philippines' counter-terrorism strategy still stalled after 7 years since the 'ISIS siege' on Marawi 18. Somalia detains U.S.-trained commandos over theft of rations 19. Blinken tells CNN the US has seen evidence of China attempting to influence upcoming US elections 20. Asia’s next war could be triggered by a rusting warship on a disputed reef 21. Baltimore principal was framed by school athletic director using AI to fabricate racist attack
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Alireza Jafarzadeh
H.R. 8038, the “21st Century Peace through Strength Act,” introduced by House Foreign Affairs Committee chair Michael McCaul, passed in the House by 360 votes. If passed by the Senate and signed into law, it would represent a significant stride in shaping U.S. policy to support the Iranian people's Resistance to end theocratic rule in Iran. Chairman McCaul should be commended for introducing H.R. 8038. Special thanks should go to representatives Michael Lawler, Jim Banks, Nathaniel Moran, and French Hill, who introduced the original Iran-related language in H.R. 8038 and have co-sponsored either H.Res. 100 and/or H.Res. 1148 in the 118th Congress, which “recognizes the rights of the Iranian people and their struggle to establish a democratic, secular, and nonnuclear Republic of Iran.” H.R. 8038 has 15 divisions, six directly opposing the Iranian regime. The goal of the ‘‘Stop Harboring Iranian Petroleum Act’’ or the ‘‘SHIP Act’’ is to reduce the Iranian regime’s revenue from oil exports, which funds terrorism. The Fight and Combat Rampant Iranian Missile Exports Act, the "FIGHT CRIME Act," aims to hinder Tehran's development and proliferation of ballistic missiles and drones. The Mahsa Amini Human Rights and Security Accountability Act, the "MAHSA Act," highlights the role of Ebrahim Raisi as someone who “has supported the recent crackdown on protestors and is a rights violator himself, having served on a ‘death commission’ in 1988 that led to the execution of several thousand political prisoners in Iran.” This act aims to sanction Iranian regime officials for human rights abuses and support for terrorism, including Supreme Leader Khamenei and, its President Ebrahim Raisi. The "No Technology for Terror Act" makes permanent existing U.S. export control restrictions that prohibit the transfer of American-made technology to the Iranian regime to build weapons systems such as drones and missiles. The "Holding Iranian Leaders Accountable Act of 2024" aims to increase transparency regarding the Iran regime leaders’ finances. The "Iran-China Energy Sanctions Act of 2023" aims to limit the purchase of the Iranian regime’s petroleum or petroleum products.
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