Weather and climate change

Headline:

Cool week ahead with sunshine and showery rain. Turning windy.

Today:

Dry in the south and east with early sunshine. A band of showery rain spreading southeastwards across the United Kingdom, heaviest in the north but patchy further south. Turning brighter in the northwest later. Feeling cool in the northwesterly breeze.

Tonight:

Cloud and patchy rain in the southeast soon clearing. Elsewhere, mainly dry with variable amounts of cloud and a few light showers in the northwest. Turning cool in rural spots.

Tuesday:

A day of sunshine and well scattered showers on Tuesday, these mainly affecting Scotland and Northern Ireland. Turning breezy and cloudy in the far northwest later with outbreaks of rain.

Outlook for Wednesday to Friday:

Widely turning wet and rather windy on Wednesday. Brighter, but with blustery showers on Thursday and Friday, although winds becoming lighter. Temperatures remaining on the cool side throughout.

Updated: 05:00 (UTC+1) on Mon 1 Jul 2024

This period is likely to see a continuation of the changeable conditions, with occasional bands of rain moving in from the west or northwest. There will be a good deal of dry, warm, and settled weather in between frontal systems, with the best conditions most likely in the south and east where winds will be lighter. In contrast, further north and west, it will generally be breezier, and any rain that does occur will be heaviest over the hills. Cloud cover will vary, with cloudier weather expected in the north and west, while clearer skies are likely in the south and east. Temperatures will be around or a little below average for the time of year, but on sunnier days with lighter winds, it will still feel warm.

Updated: 15:00 (UTC+1) on Sun 30 Jun 2024

On balance, it may be rather changeable at first, with periods of unsettled and cloudy, wet weather mixed with spells of dry and fine weather. The west is likely to see the wettest conditions, while the east will tend to be drier. By mid month there is a signal for more settled conditions to develop, so more in the way of dry weather, although still with a risk of some rain / showers at times. Temperatures close to average at first, but with a greater chance of warmer than average conditions later in the period.

Updated: 16:00 (UTC+1) on Sun 30 Jun 2024